If you have been wondering what all those old Chinese aunties buying gold were telling us last year then this is it: go long gold and short China. So far in 2014 that has been the winning trade. Gold is sharply up, shares in Shanghai are tumbling.
Actually the Shanghai Composite Index is 60 per cent off its high and has been falling for several years. Gold took a break from its 13-year bull market last year but remains in an uptrend. However, both markets could be set for strong movements this year, albeit in opposite directions.