Tuesday, January 12, 2016

The Crumbling World Order and Who Will Pick Up the Crumbs?

In the last fifteen months, from August 1, 2104 to November 27, 2015, International Reserves, as calculated by Bloomberg, have fallen three-quarters of a trillion ($752 billion) dollars, or 6.52%. International Reserves peaked at $12.032 Trillion on August 1, 2014, and have fallen since then to $11.28 Trillion on November 27, 2105.
Central Banks increase their Reserves by purchasing Government Bonds - denominated in Dollars, Euros, Pounds or Yen - when those currencies come into their hands as a result of a surplus of exports over imports; all countries strive to have such surpluses, because if they are not able to export more than they import, then they are condemned to devalue their currencies in order to make their exports more attractive; they are also burdened with higher interest rates on their borrowings, as a result of the threat of further devaluation. Higher interest rates in turn, exacerbate the outflow of Reserve currencies and make devaluation all the more necessary.

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